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Recorded on March 5, 2013.

Given expected changes in climate and land use over the next several decades, many forest ecosystems are likely to become increasingly vulnerable to fire. In my lecture, I describe how satellite measurements of ocean temperatures, soil moisture, and fires may be used to identify regions worldwide where reliable forecasting of severe fire seasons may be possible. I will also describe what we know about climate controls on fires in Southern California, and how these controls may change in the future.